Dancing Tiger In The Eagle’s Shadow

JOINT STATEMENT 

ON 

UNITED STATES-MALAYSIA 

AGREEMENT ON RECIPROCAL TRADE

(Click here to read)

1. When Malaysia inked its latest trade deal with the United States last week, the government celebrated it as a victory;  tariffs frozen at 19%, exemptions for over 1,700 export lines, and promises of deeper cooperation in digital trade and critical minerals. 

2. On paper, it looks like a hard-won balance between friendship and sovereignty. But beneath the polite smiles and photo opportunities, Malaysia may have walked into a tighter embrace than it realises.

3. At the heart of this agreement lies a subtle but serious concern: economic dependency dressed as partnership. The deal binds Malaysia to conditions that could, in time, curtail its freedom to decide who it trades with, how it develops its industries, and how it governs its strategic resources.

4. One key clause is Malaysia’s commitment not to ban or restrict exports of critical minerals and rare earth elements to the United States. This might seem harmless, but in practice it means Malaysia has effectively pledged to keep its mineral doors open for Washington, even if national interests or regional strategy later demand otherwise. 

5. What was once a sovereign right to regulate our natural wealth could soon require a nod of approval from across the Pacific.

6. Then there’s the matter of tariffs. While Malaysia escaped a feared 24% tariff, the maintained 19% rate still hangs like a sword over our exporters. The United States now wields leverage: every renegotiation, every “review” of exemptions becomes a pressure point. 

7. Malaysia may find itself perpetually having to offer new concessions, be it on data flows, digital standards, or defence cooperation, just to keep access to the American market stable.

8. Perhaps most worrying is the “hidden agenda”. By aligning so closely with U.S. trade rules, Malaysia risks being seen by China and even ASEAN neighbours as leaning too heavily under Washington’s wing. The optics alone could complicate Malaysia’s traditional balancing act between East and West.

9.  Beijing, which remains Malaysia’s largest trading partner, may interpret this as a pivot, potentially slowing down technology sharing, joint ventures, or rare-earth processing deals that Malaysia badly needs.

10. Politically, the timing matters. The U.S. administration is pursuing what it calls “friend-shoring” securing supply chains through compliant allies. 

11. Malaysia’s eagerness to play along might bring short-term economic calm, but at the cost of long-term leverage. Once bound by terms that favour American access, it will be difficult for Malaysia to negotiate from strength when future disputes arise whether on trade, investment, or even security.

12. The symbolism of this moment cannot be ignored. The tiger, Malaysia’s enduring emblem of strength and pride has agreed to dance under the shadow of the eagle. It may roar on its own soil, but in the skies of trade diplomacy, its movements are now partly choreographed by Washington.

13. Malaysia must therefore tread carefully. Cooperation with the U.S. is not the issue but dependency is. If we are not vigilant, every future trade, investment or technology deal could first need an informal American blessing. The true cost of this agreement will not be measured in tariffs, but in how much autonomy Malaysia retains when global winds shift.

14. In the coming months, our policymakers must ensure that partnership does not quietly evolve into permission.

15. For when a tiger drinks too deeply from another’s cup, it may wake to find that its stripes are no longer its own.

When Trump Comes To Town: Malaysia Must Lead ASEAN, Not Follow It.

By Datuk Tengku Putra Haron Aminurrashid Jumat

Johor State Legislative Assemblyman, Kempas N47 (2013-2018).

1. The 45th & 47th President of the United States’ visit to Southeast Asia in Kuala Lumpur will not be a courtesy call. It will be a mission of interest. Washington under Donald J Trump sees the region not as partners of equals, but as pieces on a chessboard in America’s contest with China. At the heart of that game lies one glittering prize: ASEAN’s critical minerals, the lifeblood of modern technology and defense.

2. Strategic minerals are now seen as national security assets. For example, the U.S. is actively working to secure supplies of rare earth elements (REEs) and other critical minerals to reduce dependence on dominant suppliers (especially China).

3. Malaysia is a possible source. Reports indicate Malaysia has large REE / critical mineral reserves estimated around 16 million metric tonnes worth about RM500 billion and is positioning to refine/ upgrade its capacity.  

4. Even if we do sign with the US on the REE deal, China will not flinch as their technology is way superior than any other competing country and they know it will be at the earliest 5 years before the US can see the results.

5. Malaysia however could be at a disadvantage as China would then not likely share any technologies with us in the future.

6. Trump’s America will come with smiles, handshakes, and the promise of “mutual prosperity”, with a touch of intimidation. Yet behind the charm lies the same strategic hunger to secure trade routes, gain mineral access, and pull Southeast Asia closer to the U.S. supply chain. Malaysia, with its rare earth reserves and strategic location, will naturally be at the top of that list.

7. He will talk about partnership, but what he really seeks is leverage. Trump’s record shows he respects strength and exploits weakness. Those who bend quickly earn deals that benefit Washington first; those who stand firm earn his grudging respect. If ASEAN countries line up too eagerly, Malaysia must not be swept along by the tide of flattery.

8. The challenge for us is delicate, ie to defend our national interest without offending our neighbours. If others choose to sign away their mineral rights or open their markets too widely, that is their sovereign choice. But Malaysia must stand its ground. Our message should be calm and clear: we support regional cooperation, but not at the cost of Malaysia’s long-term security and control.

9. When Trump speaks of “rebalancing trade,” he means tilting it his way. When he speaks of “supply-chain security,” he means making sure the U.S. controls the source. Malaysia cannot afford to be dazzled by short-term investment promises or fast-talking envoys. We have seen how deals that look generous today can chain us tomorrow.

10. Our leadership must also recall the lessons of Al Gore’s 1998 visit, when a U.S. leader used our own stage to lecture us. That moment burned into our memory, a reminder that American diplomacy often turns moralistic when we disagree. Trump may not moralize, but he threatens. His language is different, yet the pressure is the same.

11. If that moment comes again; a threat of tariffs, a warning about “choosing sides,” or hints of diplomatic chill, Malaysia must respond with quiet firmness. No shouting, no surrender. Just the confidence of a nation that knows its value. We can work with the U.S., but only on equal footing.

12. To keep that balance, Malaysia should rally ASEAN not as followers but as partners in principle. We can propose a collective framework for critical-mineral trade; transparent, fair, and respecting national sovereignty. This allows every member to deal with the U.S. without being isolated or bullied individually. Unity is not submission; it is protection.

13. At home, we must also strengthen our own industry. Instead of exporting raw materials, Malaysia should demand joint ventures, technology sharing, and local processing rights. Whoever wants our minerals must invest in our people, not just our ground.

14. We must remember: respect in global politics is earned not by compliance, but by consistency. The U.S. respects nations that know what they want,  even if it frustrates them. Malaysia’s best shield is clarity, backed by calm strength.

15. Trump’s ASEAN charm offensive will test every leader’s resolve. Some may yield for convenience; others may overreact for pride. Malaysia must choose a wiser middle path that is cooperative, but uncompromising in principle.

16. And when the last handshake fades, the speeches end, and the streets in the capital are returned to the KL folks,  let it be known that Malaysia may trade with everyone but will be owned by no one.

** _The writer is a Malaysian citizen who believes sovereignty begins with self-respect._

Lawatan Trump ke KL: Malaysia Harus Memimpin ASEAN, Bukan Sebagai Pengikut.

Oleh Datuk Tengku Putra Haron Aminurrashid Jumat

Ahli Dewan Undangan Negeri Johor, Kempas N47 (2013-2018)

1. Lawatan Presiden Amerika Syarikat ke Asia Tenggara di Kuala Lumpur bukan sekadar kunjungan hormat. Ia adalah misi berkepentingan. Washington di bawah Donald J. Trump melihat rantau ini bukan sebagai rakan setara, tetapi sebagai bidak di papan catur dalam persaingan Amerika dengan China. Di tengah-tengah permainan itu terletak satu hadiah yang berkilau iaitu sumber mineral kritikal ASEAN, nadi utama teknologi dan pertahanan moden.

2. Mineral strategik kini dilihat sebagai aset keselamatan negara. Sebagai contoh, Amerika Syarikat sedang giat berusaha mendapatkan bekalan unsur nadir bumi (REE) dan mineral kritikal lain bagi mengurangkan kebergantungan terhadap pembekal utama, khususnya China.

3. Malaysia berpotensi menjadi salah satu sumber tersebut. Laporan menunjukkan negara kita memiliki rizab nadir bumi (REE) atau mineral kritikal yang dianggarkan sekitar 16 juta tan metrik bernilai lingkungan RM500 billion, dan kini sedang menambah baik kapasiti pemprosesan serta penapisan dalam sektor ini.

4. Jikapun kita menandatangani perjanjian REE dengan Amerika Syarikat kelak, China tidak akan gentar kerana teknologi mereka jauh lebih maju berbanding mana-mana negara pesaing, dan mereka tahu bahawa Amerika sekurang-kurangnya memerlukan sepaling cepat tempoh lima tahun sebelum dapat melihat hasilnya nanti.

5. Malaysia pula mungkin berada dalam keadaan yang merugikan, kerana China selepas itu berkemungkinan tidak lagi akan berkongsi sebarang teknologi dengan kita pada masa hadapan.

6. Amerika di bawah Trump akan datang dengan senyuman, jabat tangan, dan janji “kemakmuran bersama”, dengan sentuhan intimidasi. Namun di sebalik pesona itu tersembunyi keinginan strategik untuk menguasai laluan perdagangan, mendapatkan akses kepada sumber mineral, dan menarik Asia Tenggara lebih rapat ke dalam rantaian bekalan Amerika. Malaysia, dengan rizab nadir bumi dan kedudukannya yang strategik, sudah pasti menjadi sasaran utama.

7. Trump akan berbicara tentang “perkongsian,” tetapi apa yang sebenarnya dicari ialah pengaruh. Rekodnya menunjukkan beliau menghormati kekuatan dan mengeksploitasi kelemahan. Negara yang mudah tunduk akan menerima perjanjian yang lebih menguntungkan Washington terlebih dahulu; manakala mereka yang berpendirian teguh akan mendapat penghormatan yang berat hati daripadanya. Jika negara-negara ASEAN lain terlalu cepat melutut, Malaysia tidak boleh turut hanyut dalam arus pujian dan janji manis.

8. Cabaran bagi kita amat halus iaitu mempertahankan kepentingan negara tanpa menyinggung jiran. Jika negara lain memilih untuk menyerahkan hak mineral mereka atau membuka pasaran mereka seluas-luasnya, itu hak kedaulatan mereka. Namun Malaysia mesti berdiri teguh. Pesanan kita harus tenang tetapi jelas: kita menyokong kerjasama serantau, namun bukan dengan menggadaikan keselamatan dan kawalan jangka panjang Malaysia.

9. Apabila Trump bercakap tentang “imbangan perdagangan,” maksudnya ialah mengimbang ke arah Amerika. Apabila beliau menyebut tentang “keselamatan rantaian bekalan,” maksud sebenarnya ialah memastikan Amerika menguasai sumbernya. Malaysia tidak boleh terpesona dengan janji pelaburan jangka pendek atau pujukan delegasi perwakilan yang petah berkata-kata. Kita sudah melihat bagaimana perjanjian yang tampak murah hati hari ini boleh menjadi belenggu pada esok hari.

10. Kepimpinan kita juga harus mengingati pengajaran daripada lawatan Al Gore pada tahun 1998, ketika Naib Presiden Amerika itu menggunakan pentas kita untuk menegur negara kita sendiri. Detik itu terpahat dalam ingatan, sutu peringatan bahawa diplomasi Amerika sering berubah menjadi bersifat mengajar apabila kita tidak sehaluan dengan mereka. Trump mungkin tidak bermoral tinggi dalam tutur katanya, tetapi beliau tahu mengugut. Bahasanya berbeza, namun tekanannya tetap sama.

11. Sekiranya detik itu berulang, cuma kali ini dengan ancaman tarif, amaran untuk  “memihak,” atau bayangan hubungan dingin, Malaysia mesti bertindak dengan ketegasan dalam tenang tanpa  jeritan, tanpa menunduk. Hanya keyakinan sebuah negara yang tahu nilainya. Kita boleh bekerjasama dengan Amerika, tetapi hanya di atas dasar kesetaraan.

12. Untuk mengekalkan keseimbangan ini, Malaysia perlu memimpin ASEAN bukan sebagai pengikut, tetapi sebagai rakan sehaluan dalam prinsip. Kita boleh mencadangkan satu kerangka bersama bagi perdagangan mineral kritikal yang telus, adil, dan menghormati kedaulatan setiap negara. Pendekatan ini membolehkan setiap anggota berunding dengan Amerika tanpa perlu berhadapan dengan tekanan atau pengasingan secara individu. Kesatuan bukanlah penyerahan; ia adalah perlindungan.

13. Di dalam negara, kita juga mesti memperkukuh industri kita sendiri. Daripada mengeksport bahan mentah sebegitu sahaja Malaysia perlu menuntut usaha sama, perkongsian teknologi, dan hak pemprosesan tempatan. Sesiapa yang mahukan mineral kita mesti turut melabur dengan rakyat kita dan bukan sekadar mengambil kesempatan keatas tanah kita.

14. Kita mesti ingat: penghormatan dalam politik antarabangsa tidak diperoleh melalui kepatuhan, tetapi melalui ketegasan pendirian. Amerika menghormati negara yang tahu apa yang diinginkan, walaupun mereka tidak menyukainya. Perisai terbaik Malaysia ialah kejelasan pendirian, disertai kekuatan yang tenang.

15. Serangan pesona Trump terhadap ASEAN akan menguji keteguhan setiap pemimpin. Ada yang mungkin tunduk demi kemudahan; ada pula yang melawan demi ego. Malaysia mesti memilih jalan tengah yang lebih bijaksana iaitu bekerjasama, tanpa sekali-kali berkompromi dengan prinsip.

16. Dan apabila berjabat-salam terakhir berlalu, ucapan-ucapan selesai, dan jalan-jalan di ibu kota dikembalikan kepada rakyat Kuala Lumpur, biarlah dunia tahu bahawa Malaysia boleh memilih untuk berdagang dengan sesiapa, namun tidak akan dimiliki oleh sesiapa.

** _Penulis adalah seorang warganegara Malaysia yang percaya bahawa kedaulatan bermula dengan maruah diri.

SACK THE MINISTER!

 

1. This note draws the Madani leadership’s attention to the growing public unease and administrative concern surrounding the conduct of the Minister of Tourism, Arts and Culture.

2. While his energy and visibility in promoting Malaysia are acknowledged, the repeated controversies during his tenure have become a liability to the government’s image—particularly among the Malay Muslim majority, whose cultural and religious sensitivities must always be safeguarded.

3. The minister’s tenure has been marred by one controversy after another, each one eroding the dignity of the office he holds. From the serving of alcohol at an official tourism gala, to his deputy’s misguided proposal of branding Langkawi as a “preferred Muslim destination,” and even a national promotional video that managed to omit every symbol of Islam—these are not minor oversights but repeated failures of cultural intelligence and respect.

4. Earlier storms, including his public dismissal of local religious enforcement as “scaring off tourists,” have left a lingering perception that the sensitivities of the Muslim majority are a nuisance rather than a national foundation. Even if denied, the pattern of provocation has become impossible to ignore.

5. His habit of crossing ministerial lines—bursting into border operations at KLIA or publicly rebuking DBKL for signage enforcement—may project bravado, but it tramples the principle of Cabinet discipline. What should have been inter-agency coordination too often turns into personal theatre at the expense of government cohesion.

6. The minister’s public interventions have grown increasingly combative, trading tact for soundbites. Every controversy fuels another headline; every apology arrives only after the damage is done. The cumulative effect has been a trail of embarrassment that now threatens to stain the government’s collective reputation.

7. Collectively, these incidents reveal lapses in judgment, discretion, and cultural awareness inconsistent with the standards expected of a federal minister. The tourism portfolio requires tact, diplomacy, and an instinct for unity—qualities not consistently reflected in his leadership.

8. With Malaysia approaching Visit Malaysia Year 2026, continued controversy within the Tourism Ministry threatens to overshadow national branding efforts and risk alienating domestic constituencies whose confidence is vital to the campaign’s success.

9. It is therefore prudent for the Madani leadership to consider a change of leadership within the Ministry of Tourism, Arts and Culture. A new minister with a deeper appreciation for Malaysia’s multicultural sensitivities and stronger inter-ministerial coordination would help restore confidence, stability, and focus.

10. The time has come for the Cabinet—especially UMNO and those entrusted with upholding the confidence of the Malay Muslim majority—to demand the removal of this minister who repeatedly provokes the boundaries of public patience and Malay Muslim sensitivities.

11. Each silence risks being read as consent, and every uncorrected slight deepens the wound of perception. Leadership is not about defending the indefensible, but about recognising when the line of public tolerance has already been crossed.

12. If the latest alcohol debacle at a ministry function is left without reprimand on the grounds that it was privately funded, we fear that female escorts and “GROs” might be the next level of entertainment used to “brighten up” future official events.

Surely, this cannot be the Madani way that this Prime Minister and government advocate with conviction.

American Bases in the Middle East: Expensive Monuments of Arab Subservience

Graphics: thecradle.co

1. ⁠The Middle East today is riddled with American military bases planted across sovereign Arab lands under the pretext of “partnership” and “security cooperation.” Yet, when those very lands come under fire, these sprawling installations, brimming with expensive technology and thousands of troops, turn into mute spectators. What logic is there in hosting a supposed superpower’s base if it cannot shield you from aggression? Qatar, a sovereign nation, was recently struck by Israel, and yet the massive American presence within its borders offered no deterrent, no shield, and no response.

2.⁠ ⁠If these bases are genuinely meant to provide security, then their silence in the face of attacks is an indictment of their uselessness. On the other hand, if they are merely staging grounds for Washington’s adventures and assaults against other Muslim nations, then Arab leaders have sold their sovereignty cheaply, trading honor for a hollow promise of protection that never materializes when truly needed. Either way, the arrangement reeks of betrayal.

3. ⁠The people of the region see clearly that these bases are not fortresses for defense but springboards for foreign aggression. From Syria to Iraq, from Yemen to Lebanon, American hardware and intelligence have been deployed not to defend Arabs, but now seen to destabilize and divide them. Yet Arab regimes continue to bend their backs, pretending the bases serve their national interest while the evidence screams otherwise.

4. Take Yemen, a brotherly Islamic nation enduring years of brutal bombardment. Did any Arab host of U.S. bases demand accountability for the role of American weapons and targeting support in the massacre of civilians there? Or look at Syria, where foreign strikes repeatedly pound infrastructure and cities—did these bases lift a finger to stop foreign jets violating Syrian sovereignty? The silence is deafening, the hypocrisy unbearable.

5. ⁠And yet, Arab states welcome more bases, more troops, more “security agreements.” These leaders are quick to issue pompous statements at international summits, but when their neighbors bleed under foreign fire, they shrug, mumble, and retreat into silence. What kind of brotherhood is this? What kind of leadership accepts a foreign boot on its soil while another Muslim nation is crushed?

6. The cowardice extends beyond governments to the collective Arab system. When Palestine burns under bombardment, when Lebanon is threatened, when Iraq and Syria are destabilized, when Yemen is starved, the Arab bloc offers little more than empty words and occasional aid shipments appearing “charitable” and “concerned”. Meanwhile, they allow their soil to be launchpads for the very powers facilitating this destruction. It is shameful, pitiful, and a betrayal of their own people.

7. Those who host American bases and parade them as symbols of modern alliances should be ridiculed for their gullibility—or worse, their complicity. For what is the point of sovereignty if you surrender your land to foreign militaries that neither defend you nor respect your neighbors? Qatar, Bahrain, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, and others have become landlords of colonial outposts dressed up as “partners in stability.” In truth, they are lapdogs, wagging their tails while their brothers are beaten.

8. The tragedy is compounded by the way these regimes spend billions on imported arms they rarely dare to use, while relying on a foreign shield that repeatedly proves itself illusory. The enemy strikes Yemen, Syria, Lebanon, Iraq, even Qatar itself, and the American bases sit idle. What message does that send, other than proving that their true mission is not defense but domination?

9.⁠ ⁠Until Arab nations muster the courage to stand for themselves, these bases will remain symbols of humiliation. They are monuments not of protection but of surrender, reminders that sovereignty has been mortgaged to a power that treats its hosts as pawns. Worse, by permitting such bases, Arab rulers share in the crimes committed against their fellow Muslims, allowing their land to be used as staging grounds for wars of terror.

10. The time has come to call things by their real names: American bases in the Middle East are useless for defense, destructive for unity, and humiliating for sovereignty. 

11. The longer Arab leaders tolerate them, the longer they will remain complicit in the bleeding of their own region. Yemen, Syria, Lebanon, Palestine, Iraq, and now even Qata; these are not isolated cases, but proof that dependence on foreign bases is nothing but a dangerous oasis in desert dream.

12. Middle Eastern men are usually proud of their musculinity, but in these circumstances perhaps the Arab leaders might trade their “Igal and Keffiyah” for a “Bedlah”, judging by the way they defend their region.

Time To Leave The Table Before The Feast Turns Rotten

UMNO entered this so-called Unity Government not out of desperation, but out of duty, honouring the former King’s decree to bring stability to a fractured nation. We took our place at the table in good faith, believing our voice would matter, our principles would be respected, and our struggle would be upheld. Yet, what we see today is a government that defies the very monarch who crowned it, tramples on the unspoken courtesies between partners, sidelines the Malay agenda, and treats UMNO as political window dressing. We are not here to be complicit in betrayal, nor to play second fiddle in a marriage that has lost its respect.

1. Upholding the King’s Decree

UMNO’s entry into the Unity Government was in large part due to the explicit wish of the then-Yang di-Pertuan Agong, who sought political stability through our cooperation with Pakatan Harapan. Yet, the current administration’s defiance of His Majesty’s addendum on Najib Razak’s house arrest is a direct affront to the very monarch who bestowed legitimacy on this government. Remaining in the Cabinet under these circumstances risks UMNO being seen as complicit in undermining the monarchy’s authority.

2. Insult to UMNO’s Dignity

The acceptance of Tengku Zafrul into PKR was not just bad manners, it was a slap across UMNO’s face. It told the world that our boundaries mean nothing, that anyone can betray UMNO today and find a red carpet waiting for them in Pakatan Harapan tomorrow. And if we swallow this without action, then we signal that UMNO’s honour is cheap.

3. A Marriage in Constant Quarrel

This so-called “Unity” is unity in name only. We have coalition partners who openly mock UMNO leaders, belittle our grassroots, and challenge our positions on policies that affect our people. We are treated less like partners and more like troublesome in-law, tolerated but never respected.

4. Preserving UMNO’s Honour

Remaining in the Cabinet without meaningful influence risks reducing UMNO to a political accessory, present for optics but powerless in decision making. Stepping out of the Cabinet now would be an act of principle, signalling to our members and the rakyat that positions and perks are secondary to honour and conviction.

5. Distancing from Policy Failures

This administration has made contentious decisions such as ambiguous economic recovery measures, weak cost of living interventions, and inconsistent foreign policy stances that are increasingly unpopular among the rakyat. If we remain in Cabinet, every bad decision will have UMNO’s fingerprints on it. 

6.Demonstrating Loyalty to the Original Royal Mandate

Our loyalty to the former King was in fulfilling his wish to ensure stability at a moment of national uncertainty. That mission has been carried out. However, loyalty to that decree does not require blind compliance with all subsequent actions by the government, especially when they run contrary to UMNO’s principles and the monarchy’s dignity. 

7. Guarding UMNO’s Soul

UMNO is the shield of Islam, the guardian of the monarchy, the defender of the Malay race, and the protector of our Tanahair. If we keep bending to the whims of partners who neither share nor respect these values, we risk becoming unrecognisable even to our own members. Withdrawal is not abandonment of duty but a necessary correction to protect our legacy. 

8. Sending a Clear Message to the Rakyat

By stepping out of Cabinet but keeping the government afloat in Parliament, UMNO sends an unmistakable message,  ie, we are not afraid to sacrifice power for principle. We will cooperate for stability, but we will not sell our soul for a seat at the table. 

9.Sacrificing Borrowed Power for Long-term Credibility

Comfortable ministerial positions and GLC appointments are fleeting. What endures is the perception of UMNO’s integrity. By relinquishing these trappings of borrowed power and ending our role as a “loose supporting actress” in this government, we restore our credibility, morale, and the respect of our supporters, positioning UMNO for a stronger future. 

10. Power Is Borrowed, But Honour Is Ours, And We Must Not Trade It For Anyone’s Convenience.

DATUK TENGKU PUTRA HARON AMINURRASHID JUMAT
UMNO Membership 01059553
Johor.

Happy Birthday, Dato’ Sri Mohd Najib bin Tun Abdul Razak

23 July 2025

1. It is difficult to wish this extraordinary gentleman a Happy Birthday while he remains behind bars, when in past decades, I had the privilege of wishing him personally, whether at Langgak Duta, Sri Satria, or Sri Perdana.

2. As he approaches three years in detention, still enduring thousands of hours in the halls of justice, the people are beginning to see, more clearly than ever, the calm resolve and intellectual patriotism that define his character.

3. He has never called his supporters to the streets. He has never urged for riots or chaos in his name. He has not ridiculed nor desecrated those currently in government, some of whom were once his own allies,  despite their tireless efforts to frustrate his path to justice.  

4. That, perhaps, is the mark of a man raised with integrity, shaped by noble values, and anchored in a distinguished family legacy, unlike the pariahs who sully the national stage with bitterness and vengeance.

5. Seven years have passed since his abrupt departure from office and is ample time for Malaysians to witness, firsthand, and to judge the competence (or lack thereof) of the four Prime Ministers who have followed. 

6. In comparison, Najib’s era stands out for its delivery of promises, its focus on rising prosperity, its protection of rakyat welfare, and for elevating Malaysia’s image on the world stage.

7. As Malaysia’s 6th Prime Minister, his legacy includes bold national transformation programs, ambitious infrastructure development, and a vision for economic progress and global recognition. Whether admired for his policies or remembered for his unwavering dedication to Barisan Nasional, Dato’ Sri Najib’s impact continues to be deeply felt across the nation.

8. By all fair measure, Dato’ Sri Najib is, after his father Tun Abdul Razak the finest Prime Minister Malaysia has known.

9. Time will tell whether true justice will be returned to him, and whether our nation’s politics will find its correction.

10. Until then, we say this with unwavering faith:

11. Keep With The Struggle And Hold Strongly To Your Faith, Sir.

12. Happy Birthday, Bossku.

UMNO MUST QUIT CABINET IF DEFECTORS ARE WELCOMED, SAYS PARTY LOYALIST

FULL STATEMENT

KUALA LUMPUR: UMNO should withdraw from Cabinet positions if the unity government accepts political defectors who betrayed the party, while still holding the government accountable.

Datuk Tengku Putra Haron Aminurashid Jumat, a hard core UMNO loyalist and former BN Johor State Assemblyman for Kempas, said the party must not support policies that harm public welfare and should actively oppose defectors in future elections. 

UMNO, he said, should insist on being treated as an equal partner, not exploited or sidelined.

“If PKR or any member of the unity government accepts political defectors who have betrayed UMNO, then we should vacate our seats in the Cabinet while continuing to serve as vigilant overseers within the Government.


“We should also cease to be executively complicit in the administration’s policies if they are detrimental to the social welfare of the masses,” he said in support of Umno vice-president Datuk Seri Mohamed Khaled Nordin’s statement for its partners in the unity government not to accept party leaders and members looking to defect. 

In his speech when opening the Batu Pahat Umno division delegates meeting today, Khaled had warned that doing so will undermine political stability and mutual trust.

Without naming names, he said such behaviour could weaken the coalition's cohesion and must not be encouraged.

Datuk Tengku Putra also said “if these defectors from UMNO contest in any upcoming by-election, regardless of government backing, UMNO must field our own candidates to challenge and defeat them at the polls. We cannot allow our party to be used as a stepping stone by ingrates seeking to rise politically in other parties.


“We are equal partners, not subordinates or concubines, to be exploited for the benefit of others in this government,” he said,

On May 30, UMNO Supreme Council member Tengku Zafrul Tengku Abdul Aziz announced he was leaving Umno and joining PKR.

He tendered his resignation as an Umno supreme council member, a Kota Raja division leader and a party member. He had been an Umno member since 1997.

Ends.

THE MALAYSIAN FLAG

By Datuk Tengku Putra Haron Aminurrashid Jumat

1. When the late Lee Kuan Yew, the former Prime Minister of Singapore, was asked how he successfully managed a disciplined city-state with a multiracial and multi-religious background, he simply replied, “Swift prosecution!” 

2. That, he emphasized, was the key to maintaining respect for the Constitution and harmony among citizens. 

3. Below are examples of swift prosecutions carried out by the Singaporean authorities—without endless investigations or perceived interference from political parties with vested interests. 

4. As long as the Malaysian government continues to tiptoe around sensitive issues for fear of losing votes, true peace in this country will remain elusive. 

5. Stern action MUST be taken against any provocateur—regardless of background—and they must be made an example of so that no one dares to test the limits with seditious tendencies in the future. 

6. Too many gaffes have occurred recently—most of which have insulted the Muslim faith—only to be followed by hollow apologies. 

7. The latest: the Malaysian flag depicted without the crescent moon, which symbolizes Islam as the religion of the federation. 

8. To make matters worse, the Chinese national flag was shown in perfect form, while ours was desecrated—by a Malaysian media outlet of the Chinese-language stream. 

9. It would not be unreasonable to question where their loyalties truly lie, especially on the very day Xi Jinping was in town. 

10. Yet another example of their bias can be seen on their front pages, shown below. 

11. This was published the day after the coronation of the Sultan of Johor—an event that hadn’t taken place in 55 years. I leave it to you to decide where their allegiance lies. 

12. Ironically, that very Sultan is now His Majesty the King of Malaysia. Long Live the King! 

13. The blatant violation of our national flag—displayed at a Ministry of Education event, no less—is dangerously becoming a trend. This cannot be tolerated. Those responsible must be punished swiftly and severely. Let’s take a page from the Singapore playbook if we truly seek national unity. 

14. These perpetrators have given real meaning to the phrase “a thousand apologies”—what was once just a figure of speech. They seem to fall back on it repeatedly for gaffes that are increasingly hard to believe are genuine mistakes. 1

5. Well, mistakes are just that—if you choose to believe in them. But when they morph into seditious provocations, followed by endless apologies, often accepted by gullible and overly forgiving leaders, they become a threat to national security.

No More “Charity” For MCA

1. UMNO must reclaim the Malay majority seats of Air Hitam and Tanjung Piai, which we allowed MCA to contest out of our misplaced camaraderie. 

2. Ours has been a party of compassion since decades. Often this trait gets exploited by ingrates taking it for granted. 

3. Since 2009, MCA has been taking potshots at UMNO to the point that we have become a punching bag for them, conveniently claiming that we are the reason for their failure to win back Chinese votes. 

4. While UMNO does not sleep with nor support PAS when they want to impose drastic “Islamic” laws that might hurt the feelings and way of life of the non-Muslims, MCA seems to have no qualms about embracing DAP and the Chinese chauvinistic NGOs in questioning the sensitivities of Malay Muslims taking advantage of our sensibility in the name of their race. 

5. To the best of my knowledge, no Malay BN candidates have stood in any Chinese-dominated constituencies, while there were many Chinese and Indian BN candidates who stood in Malay-dominated ones. This is testament that the Malays are a sensible lot and were responsible for placing them in Parliament.

6. Two glaring cases are that of Air Hitam and Tanjung Piai. They are the only seats in Parliament won by MCA, and on the backs of Malay voters. The other one is Tapah won by MIC. 

7. While many may think MCA stayed with Barisan Nasional out of loyalty and camaraderie, on the contrary, they have no choice but to stick or be damned into oblivion on its own, having no chance with DAP being the dominant Chinese party in West Malaysia. 

8. In GE15, approximately 95% of the Chinese voters in the Peninsula supported our opposition, which clearly meant that even the majority of their own party pathetically voted against them. 

9. Gone are the days when we dismiss their operatives’ attempts to offend us while they “pretend” to disavow or apologise for it . They’ve cried wolf too many times in our books. 

10. We shouldn’t tolerate wolves in sheepskin among us anymore, especially when their existence in Parliament is at our behest. 

11. We can win our battles facing our enemies on our own without the “fake friendly fires” in our midst.

12. Our Final Advice To The MCA Is To Tow The Line Of Unity In The Barisan Nasional. Stop Playing With Identity Politics, Or Just Ship Out!

LORD OF THE MANOR, KING OF THE HILL!

The Manor

The Hill

1. This is the second trifecta for the Trump Administration in Washington after achieving it in 2016 winning the Presidency, and both chambers in Congress.

2. In the context of the U.S. Presidential elections, a federal trifecta occurs when a single party wins the presidency and retains or gains control of both the House of Representatives and the Senate in the same election.

3. Donald Trump's political journey is nothing short of remarkable. Despite facing two historic impeachment trials, numerous legal battles, relentless media onslaught, and two assassination attempts, one of which was millimetres from splattering his brains on the podium, he remained undeterred, fashionably winning all swings states at that.

4. There was poetic justice, too, in the fact that the State of Pennsylvania in which he almost lost his life, got red-flipped and is the one that carried him through comfortably to the Presidency.

5. Against odds that would have crushed many, he defied convention and pushed through adversity with a loyal base that grew stronger with every attempt to bring him down.

6. Trump’s campaign resonated with those prioritizing strict immigration policies, promising to address illegal immigration and bolster border security. On the economic front, he advocated for policies aimed at boosting domestic industries and promised tariffs to protect U.S. manufacturing, which appealed to many in deindustrialized regions.

7. In 1992, James Carville, a political strategist for Bill Clinton's presidential campaign coined the term, “It’s the economy, stupid ”, as a reminder to campaign staff to stay focused on key issues that resonated with voters, particularly the economy. It won Clinton his Presidency.

8. Similarly, the US ’24 voters didn’t care for virtual signals or “breaking the glass ceiling” with rich celebrities preaching about democracy and “what could be, unburdened by what has been”. 

9. Democracy is a luxury if you can’t pay the bills. Fuel and utilities have gone up by 100% since Biden took office. Some had to painfully choose either to gas up or pay for a few extra square meals.

10. Economic hardship can make democratic values and political freedoms feel secondary to basic survival needs. Trump and his team fathomed and amplified that in their campaign.

11. I correctly predicted in my last posting that Trump crosses the 300 mark in the electoral votes which helped redeem my forecasting “ craft ”.

12. It is my conclusion that beyond all the noise, animosity and gestures in the most viscious election campaign in recent American history, the primary factor that drove the people’s vote on Nov 5th was their “WALLETS”, because, . . .“it’s about the economy, stupid!” 

13. “The Patriot” Would Like To Take This Opportunity To Congratulate Donald John Trump On Becoming The 47th President-Elect Of The United States Of America. 

14. We Would Have Liked To Call His, The Greatest Comeback In Politics Of All Time, But That Title Unfortunately Belongs To A Lesser Known But No Less Controversial Tun Dr Mahathir Mohamad, Who Against All Logic And Reason, Became The Prime Minister Of Malaysia In 2018, For The Second Time, At The Age Of 91.

Donald Trump as 47th President of the United States of America?

Once in every four years, I get a chance to make a political forecast on the outcome of the US Presidential election.

I was right in 2008, 2012 and 2016, but was wrong in 2020. Perhaps I can redeem myself this time. 

As the 2024 election approaches, it’s clear that Donald Trump has employed a different tactic and rallied an impressive team of influential surrogates—each bringing unique credentials, expertise, and followings that could play a key role in his administration and help secure his win. The combined influence of Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Elon Musk, Tulsi Gabbard and Vivek Ramaswamy reflects a coalition that taps into the deep concerns and aspirations of many Americans across the political spectrum.

Trump’s Surrogates: Building a Unifying Coalition

1. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.(RFK Jr.): Known for his long-standing advocacy on environmental and health issues, RFK Jr. has the ability to appeal to a more traditionally liberal base disenchanted with the Democratic establishment. He has a respected family name and is often seen as an icon of free speech and individual rights. In a Trump administration, Kennedy could bring a strong bipartisan approach to health and environmental policies, building bridges and legitimizing Trump’s platform across party lines. RFK Jr will be given a “carte blanche” on health issues taking big pharma to task and clamping down on corruption in related federal agencies while ensuring healthier ingredients in food in the US. But Trump has made it also clear that he is to lay off the topic of “liquid gold” which Trump will start drilling from the get go after inauguration.

2. Elon Musk: As a technological visionary and one of the most influential figures in business, Musk brings credibility in innovation and economic growth. Musk’s endorsement reflects the strong alignment of Trump’s economic vision with the future of American technology and space exploration. His potential advisory role in energy policy, green tech, and space exploration could solidify Trump’s appeal to young, tech-savvy voters who are concerned about America’s leadership in these areas. Musk also owns the biggest platform in social media eliminating censorship and promoting transparency. He is also an advocate of budget efficiency and has said with conviction that he can reduce the federal budget by at least USD 2 trillion if Trump wins the Presidency. His word carries weight considering the amazing feats that he has achieved in rocket science, electronic vehicles, telecommunication and social media.

3. Tulsi Gabbard: Former Congresswoman Gabbard is widely respected for her anti-war stance and her advocacy for veterans. She has served in the army, was deployed in Iraq and knows first hand what it is to fight, survive and witness the consequences of engaging in an unnecessary war. She is currently a Lieutenant Colonel in the US Army Reserves.  Her experience in foreign policy and her staunch opposition to endless wars are highly appealing to independents and anti-establishment voters. In a Trump administration, Gabbard could potentially shape a more isolationist, diplomacy-focused foreign policy—one that resonates with Americans exhausted by international conflicts and keen on refocusing on domestic prosperity.

4. Vivek Ramaswamy: As a rising conservative star and entrepreneur, Ramaswamy appeals to young, entrepreneurial-minded voters. Known for his criticisms of “woke” policies and Big Tech censorship, he brings an intellectual voice to issues of free speech, corporate influence, and individual rights. He could serve as a valuable figure in crafting economic policies that balance growth with American values, energizing a younger demographic increasingly concerned with economic mobility and freedom of expression.

Meanwhile, Kamala Harris' campaign is struggling for authenticity. She leaned on Hollywood endorsements and celebrity appearances to boost her appeal—moves that can appear inauthentic and disconnected from the concerns of everyday Americans. 

Her outreach to Hollywood reflects a strategy rooted in surface-level popularity rather than substantive solutions. Many voters see this approach as a sign of desperation rather than confidence, raising questions about her ability to connect with middle America and voters skeptical of elite celebrity culture.

Vice President Harris’ public messaging too often focuses on criticizing former President Trump rather than outlining specific, actionable policies. While Harris frequently highlights the perceived failures of the previous administration, she lacks clear and tangible proposals for immediate improvement in areas such as economic growth, healthcare, and crime reduction.

Voters often seek specifics on how leaders plan to address pressing concerns—like rising inflation, affordable housing, or educational reform—rather than hearing only about past administrations’ shortcomings. They need policies that address everyday challenges quickly and effectively.

In addition, her campaign is viewed as bordering on racism and sexism. Women are campaigned to vote for her just because she is one of them instead of focussing on her policies and qualifications. 

The black men of America were shamed and talked down to by Barack Obama for not showing enough support for her just because of her skin colour and sex. 

Obama’s wife doubled down and insulted men at large who support Trump at the “expense” of their wives and daughters being “collateral damage”. 

One advertisement even encouraged women to “lie” to their husbands pretending to vote for Trump but secretly voting for Harris. It demeans women by implying that they are not strong and independent enough to be honest with their spouses in respect of their choices. 

People are tired of hearing Harris’ repeated talking points about Americans having “aspirations, ambition, dreams and good work ethics.” They want to hear how she can make groceries and utilities more affordable, end the flooding of illegal immigrants, comfortably sheltering them in hotels on the taxpayers’ dime while war veterans who risked their lives for the country lies homeless on the streets.

While Kamala Harris attempts to use gender and race and leverage celebrity endorsements, Donald Trump’s campaign is drawing together diverse voices who speak to issues that genuinely impact American lives, from free speech and economic innovation to healthcare freedom and national security. 

Trump’s “Dream Team” Has The Potential To Resonate Beyond His Base And Tap Into The Concerns Of Disillusioned Independents, Moderate Democrats, And Young Voters, Setting Him Up For A Victory In 2024.

I’d Venture Further By Predicting He Crosses The 300 Electoral Votes, 30 More Than The Number Needed To Win, ie 270.

Verdict: 6th November (Malaysian).

THE US PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION AND MALAYSIA

By FAUZIAH ISMAIL

The 2024 United States presidential election is scheduled for Tuesday, November 5, 2024. 

Voters in each state and the District of Columbia will select electors to the Electoral College, who will subsequently elect a president and vice president for four-year terms. The winners will be inaugurated as the 47th president and 50th vice president of the United States on January 20, 2025. 

 

Presidential candidate Kamala Harris is the 49th Vice President. Fifteen of the previous 49 vice presidents became presidents. However, eight of them assumed office upon the president's death. She is the 11th sitting vice president to seek office. Only six of the 15 vice presidents who became president were elected, while only four of the prior 10 campaigns of serving vice presidents were successful. 

Few previous presidents have run for their old posts, or anything else, while leaving office. Donald Trump is the second former president to lose a presidential election and run for re-election as a major party candidate. Read more here.

 

 If Harris wins, she will be the first female US president. She has already made history in the US as the first woman, black woman, and person of South Asian origin to serve as vice president. 

The outcome of this presidential election could affect Malaysia in a number of ways. 

The impact will be shaped by the broader geopolitical context and specific policies of the administration especially foreign policy priorities and approach to international relations. Key areas include diplomatic ties, which could impact Malaysia's strategic partners; trade policies that could impact exports and investments; its stance on Asia-Pacific security, particularly with regard to China; foreign aid or development programmes and on climate change. Overall, the impact will be shaped by the broader geopolitical context and specific policies of the administration. 

Over the last two weeks, the candidates' positions have made their stance known, and their surrogates have highlighted them in their assessments on CNN and Fox, of which many Malaysians are following ardently in the last lap of campaigning by both Harris and Trump. 

 

Harris supports initiatives that address issues such as wealth inequality, healthcare access, and minimising climate change. Trump prioritises tax cuts, deregulation, and a strong nationalist approach to trade, in addition to promoting economic growth through business incentives and a firm stance on immigration. 

Harris may place a higher priority on developing Malaysia's economic ties with Southeast Asia, potentially leading to increased trade and collaboration. Trump's "America First" approach might affect Malaysia's export-driven economy, particularly in the electronics and palm oil sectors, leading to higher tariffs or trade wars. 

Harris' consistent and cooperative US foreign policy may result in more US investment in Malaysia, notably in technology and infrastructure. As global economic uncertainty grows, Trump's isolationist US stance may result in reduced foreign direct investment in Malaysia. 

The US is Malaysia’s third largest trading partner, with bilateral trade totalling US$65.55 billion in 2023. In terms of foreign direct investment, Malaysia recorded net inflows of US$8.58 billion in 2023 in sectors such as oil and gas, petrochemical, semiconductor, consumer, and industrial electronics. 

Harris' commitment to multilateralism may strengthen regional security dynamics, benefiting Malaysia's strategic goals in the South China Sea, but Trump's government may take a more transactional approach, jeopardising Malaysia's strategic ties. 

 

Based on these assumptions, a Harris victory might lead to more constructive cooperation, with potential economic benefits for Malaysia, but a Trump victory could result in obstacles like trade conflicts and isolationist policies. 

 

Singaporean investment firm Temasek, one of the largest state-owned investors with a portfolio of S$389 billion, has also issued a cautionary view on the impact of a Trump victory in the upcoming US presidential election. 

Temasek International’s Chief Investment Officer Rohit Sipahimalani suggested in a Bloomberg interview that a second White House for Trump may not be as favourable for the global economy and financial markets as commonly believed. 

It would be interesting to see if our own national sovereign wealth fund, Khazanah Nasional, shares the same view. 

The writer worked as a journalist for 38 years, holding a number of senior editorial roles at mainstream newspapers namely Business Times and New Straits Times. She retired as NST Executive Editor in 2022.

• The views expressed here are those of the author/contributor and do not necessarily represent the views of The Patriot.

HOW THE AMERICAN PRESIDENT IS ELECTED

1. With less than a couple of weeks left before the US Elections 2024, let’s see how the President is elected.

2. It is through a system called the “Electoral College”, which takes affect after Americans cast their votes. Here's how it works in simple terms:

3. Each state gets a certain number of "electors" (Perwakilan) based on its population. The more people in a state, the more electors it has. There are a total of 538 electors nationwide broken down in the 50 States. A candidate needs a majority of 270 to win the Presidency.

Current allocations

4. The allocations below are based on the 2020 Census. They are effective for the 2024 and 2028 presidential elections.

The Electoral College:

Credit: US Govt Archives On Electoral College Allocation.

5. When a certain party gets the majority of the popular votes in each state, they will earn the total electoral votes of that particular state.

Total Electoral Votes:  538; Majority Needed to Elect:  270.

6. The 538 represents the composition of the number of Representatives (435) and Senators (100) plus additional votes for Washington, D.C. (3) in Congress at Capitol Hill.

7. However, the electors are NOT members of Congress but are determined earlier by both parties in their respective states during the primaries. 

8. For Further Illustration, Click On The Video Below:

9. I Hope This Brief Explanation Will Help Malaysians And Other Citizens Of The World Understand The American Elections System With More Clarity. 

10. Enjoy Observing The Results On The 6th Of November. (Malaysian Date). Who Do You Think Will Be Inaugurated As The POTUS On January 20th, 2024?

US Presidential Elections In The Face Of Incapacitation

Republican presidential candidate former President Donald Trump is surrounded by US Secret Service agents as he is helped off the stage at a campaign rally in Butler, Pa., July 13, 2024. - AP 

1. After two failed assassination attempts with a head shot and 32 days left before the US Presidential election, it is timely that we look into the election process if a candidate runs out of luck and is incapacitated or “taken out” before the polling date. 

2. While there aren’t rules governing what happens if and when a presidential candidate is assassinated, there is general guidance about what happens if a candidate dies. The Brookings Institution explains that it depends on when a candidate dies or is unable to participate in their elections. 

3. In the event of a presidential candidate’s assassination after their party convention but before the US presidential election, both major parties have similar processes for selecting a replacement. 

4. For the Republican National Committee (RNC), the 168-member committee convenes to select a new candidate, which could include the vice-presidential nominee or a prior contender. If ballots have already been printed, voters might still vote for the deceased candidate, and electors would then cast their votes for the replacement.  

5. The Democratic National Committee (DNC) follows a similar process, with its 447 members voting on a new nominee. The vice-presidential nominee or other potential candidates may be considered. Legal challenges may arise if ballots are already printed, but electors typically follow the party’s decision. 

6. Both parties rely on their internal governance, with the Electoral College playing a crucial role in formalizing the new nominee’s selection.  

7. (The Electoral College system will be explained in my next article in The Patriot). 

Reflection: 

8. On July 13th 2024, the Presumptive Presidential Nominee for the Republican party, Donald Trump was shot at and nipped in the ear in an assassination attempt in an open rally in Pennsylvania. He survived the headshot miraculously by millimetres. Unfortunately, a few of his rally-goers were hit by bullets from an AR-15 rifle. One died. 

9. On September 15th 2024, Secret Service agents foiled a second assassination attempt before the suspect managed to discharge his weapon on Former President Trump at his golf club in West Palm Beach. 

10. The last known Presidential Candidate assassinated albeit before the party convention was on June 5th 1968 when Senator Robert F Kennedy, the Candidate in the Democratic Presidential Primaries, was assassinated after addressing his supporters at The Ambassador Hotel In Los Angeles.

Chinese Votes In Mahkota

Of late, I’ve been reading and hearing too much noise about the Chinese being reluctant to vote BN in the Mahkota by-election this weekend.

This noise primarily comes from the DAP, who is using a recent issue regarding an UMNO leader’s reaction to a statement by a DAP MP. Emphasis is on the word, “reaction”.

UMNO is used to being blamed by the Chinese party representatives in the coalition especially during election time. Perhaps, this may serve as leverage, political extortion or an excuse for their foreseeable failures in the election. I’ll leave it to the esteemed political observers to decide which if any.

Today, it’s DAP. Then, it was MCA that played the blame game for their failure to win the Chinese votes. We’re immune to it. 

DAP is demanding for an apology from the UMNO Youth Chief for his reaction to their MP’s statement. 

Would the Chinese voters be happy and/ or forgiving after the apology is made? Not by a long shot if history is anything to go by. It’s like déjà vu.

In 2008, a former UMNO Youth Chief was asked to apologise for unsheathing the Keris in an UMNO Assembly. He duly obliged and apologised profusely but the Chinese kept on harping on the issue for years after that using it as a tool on UMNO’s conscience. 

So I dare say that the same will occur in this instance. Even if an apology is given, the stats will remain the same among the Chinese voters in Mahkota. It is up to the DAP to convince them to look at the bigger picture, much like how UMNO managed to sway the Malays when it was a DAP candidate on the ballot.

The alternative to BN is PN. They must remember that Umno saved the unity government, giving DAP and the Chinese community a share of power in government when UMNO could have gone the other way and still play second fiddle in the other government leaving them out in the cold.

UMNO has made a strong and positive gesture by choosing a Mandarin speaking candidate to help serve and communicate with the community better. 

It is a dangerous wish for the Chinese community to vote PN to punish BN. It will be etched in the UMNO memory bank for the remainder of this government’s term.

If their voters are adamant in the punishment, perhaps in the next GE, BN/PN will make their wish come true, if an all Malay government (barring two seats) comes in like the administration in 2020. 

Was Life Better For Their Community Then?

Reflect On It.

TEST FOR UMNO AT IT’S OWN FORTRESS

We begin by observing the previous results. 

 

Election Date: September 28, 2024. 

Nomination Date: September 14, 2024. 

 

Looking at the immediate past results, BN should be able to win by a five-digit majority this time, given that BN and PH have merged at the federal level. However, history reminds us that in politics, anything can happen, and overconfidence can ultimately backfire. 

Several factors will be decisive: 

• Voter turnout, and
• Candidates 

VOTER TURNOUT 

Even though PH and BN have merged at the federal level, this alliance is not fully reflected in Johor, as UMNO/BN won more than two-thirds of the seats on their own in the State Assembly, and PH representatives are absent from the State EXCO. 

This could be a factor if PH supporters are not fully motivated to turn out to vote because the candidate is from BN. And if they do vote, will they be to support or punish BN? We’ll know the answer on election day. 

CANDIDATES 

Although unconfirmed, names being mentioned include the UMNO Division Chief, the Acting Wanita's Chief, the Youth Chief, and a popular celebrity/ activist from Kluang. It is also possible, though risky, that UMNO's leadership might nominate one of its Supreme Council members originally from Kluang. 

The Division Chief is a veteran, who previously served as a State Assemblyman and Exco member, and now tasked with overseeing the Mahkota by-election. However, it should be noted that people today crave for new faces coupled with youth, rather than individuals who have previously served and lost in the past elections. 

 

The Acting Wanita's Chief might be considered to "replace" the vacant seat following the death of the former Wanita’s Chief, the late Datuk Sharifah Azizah Syed Zain. Wanita Umno might demand for the seat, especially after the youth wing was given a chance in Nenggiri and successfully won the recent by-election. 

Both the Youth Chief and the Celebrity/ Activist have their strengths to be fielded. However, the advantage seems to lie with the Youth Chief as he defeated the latter in a previous race for UMNO Youth Chief in the division. 

 

ANALYSIS 

If this election turns out to be tight, UMNO’s most popular candidate among the public, should be considered, even if he/she is without a formal position in the division. 

However, with BN potentially relying on additional votes from PH, the chosen candidate must come from one of the office bearers in the local UMNO division. 

 

This is to maintain the dignity and stature of the Division. Otherwise, the significance of holding a post in UMNO would be diminished. The greatest concern now is if an "outsider" is chosen, it would risk internal sabotage or lack of cooperation from the division’s machinery. 

FINAL THOUGHTS 

Whatever The Final Decision, It Should Be Supported With Full Loyalty And Not Insubordination. May Allah SWT Guide The Leadership In Making The Best Decision For The Party, Free From External Pressures, For The Continuity Of UMNO In The Country’s Politics.

DUN MAHKOTA: UMNO AKAN DIUJI DI NEGERI KUBUNYA

Kita mulakan dengan keputusan terakhir dahulu.

Tarikh mengundi 28hb September 2024. 

Tarikh pencalonan 14hb September 2024. 

 

Kalau kita lihat keputusan lepas, BN seharusnya boleh menang dengan majoriti 5 angka kali ini kerana BN dan PH sudah bergabung di peringkat pusat. Tetapi sejarah mengingatkan kita bahawa dalam politik, apa apa pun boleh berlaku dan keyakinan yang keterlaluan boleh menghukum kita akhirnya. 

Namun beberapa perkara akan menjadi penentu: 

1. Jumlah yang keluar mengundi, dan 

2. Calon. 

JUMLAH KELUAR MENGUNDI 

Walaupun PH dan BN telah bergabung di peringkat pusat, namun penyatuan ini tidak diterjemahkan secara langsung di bumi Johor memandangkan UMNO/BN memenangi lebih 2/3 kerusi dalam Dewan Undangan Negeri, dan tiada wakil PH dalam Mesyuarat Jawatankuasa Kerajaan negeri. 

Ini mungkin akan menjadi faktor jika pihak PH tidak bersungguh2 untuk menyeru penyokong mereka keluar mengundi kerana calon yang bertanding adalah dari parti BN. Dan jika penyokong mereka keluar mengundi, adakah mereka akan membantu atau menghukum BN? Jawapannya akan terserlah pada hari undi kelak. 

CALON 

Walaupun tidak dapat disahihkan, antara nama yang disebut-sebut adalah Ketua UMNO Bahagian, Pemangku Ketua Wanita, Ketua Pemuda dan seorang bekas penghibur/ aktivis Kluang yg agak tersohor. Juga tidak mustahil jika UMNO Pusat dengan bahayanya mencalonkan seorang dari ahli Majlis Kerja Tertingginya yg berasal dari Kluang. 

Ketua Bahagian boleh dikatakan seorang veteran yg pernah menjadi ADUN dan EXCO Negeri yang kini ditugaskan sebagai Pengarah Operasi PRK DUN Mahkota. Akan tetapi, harus diingat bahwa rakyat kini mendahagakan pelapis dan darah muda untuk diangkat menjadi wakil mereka dan bukan lagi individu lama yang pernah berkhidmat dan kalah di PRU sebelum ini. 

Pemangku Ketua Wanita pula mungkin dipertimbangkan untuk “mengganti” kerusi yang kosong berikutan kematian bekas Ketua Wanitanya, AlMarhumah Datuk Sharifah Azizah Syed Zain. Mereka mungkin menuntut kerusi itu di atas kuota Wanita lebih-lebih lagi setelah di Nenggiri, calon Pemuda UMNO telah diberi tempat dan seterusnya memenangi pilihanraya kecil tempohari. 

Kedua2 Ketua Pemuda dan Penghibur/Aktivis pula ada kekuatan masing-masing dan boleh diketengahkan. Namun “advantage” memihak kepada Ketua Pemuda kerana beliau telah mengalahkan Penghibur/Aktivis tersebut dalam pertandingan yg lepas untuk kedudukan Ketua Pemuda UMNO Bahagian. 

ANALISA 

Jika pilihanraya ini sengit, maka calon UMNO yg paling terkenal di kalangan rakyat, walaupun tidak memegang jawatan dalam Bahagian, harus dipertimbangkan. 

Namun dalam keadaan yang agak selesa kini memandangkan BN mungkin boleh mengharapkan kepada tambahan undi dari PH jika mereka jujur, calon yang dipilih sewajibnya datang dari salah seorang pemegang jawatan di dalam UMNO Bahagian tersebut. 

Ini memberi makna kepada darjat jawatan dan perjuangan individu yang memegang jawatan itu secara rasmi. Kalau tidak, nilai perjuangan dan yang memegang jawatan dalam parti UMNO itu akan hilang maknanya. 

Yang paling dibimbangi pula jika “orang luar” dari kepimpinan UMNO dipilih walaupun beliau seorang ahli parti dan terkenal, risiko sabotaj atau kurang kerjasama dari jentera Bahagian boleh berlaku. 

Akhir kalam, semua ini akan terbukti di petang 28hb September kelak. 

Apapun Keputusan Muktamad Yang Dibuat Harus Kita Sambut Dengan Sokongan Yang Ikhlas Dan Setia.  

Semoga Diberi Taufiq Dan Hidayah Allah SWT Kepada Pucuk Pimpinan UMNO Dalam Membuat Keputusan Yang Terbaik Untuk Parti Tanpa Menghiraukan Tekanan Dari Mana2 Pihak Yang Luar Dari Politik Demi Kesinambungan UMNO/ BN Dalam Politik Negara.